The Writing on the Wall - Political Commentary

2.21.16

“King Nebuchadnezzar made an image of gold, whose height was sixty cubits and its breadth six cubits. He set it up on the plain of Dura, in the province of Babylon,” Daniel 3:1.

This is more of a diagnosis than a prophecy; I’m reading the writing on the wall.  Donald Trump will be our next president unless some major blow-up happens in the race.  At this time, he has just made his second primary win in South Carolina with Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz tied 13 points behind in second. After The Donald’s win in New Hampshire, he mysteriously announced he wasn’t going after Marco Rubio any more.  Even more mysteriously, Marco Rubio never went after the man who was in first place in the South Carolina polls, but went after Ted Cruz instead.  It looks like the deal maker has shaken hands with Senator Rubio, and it’s a good deal for both of them.  Rubio is obviously not going to get the Republican nomination for president when he can’t even win a state. But he might manage to win a number of delegates. Let’s say that Kasich and Carson got out before March, there is a possibility that Trump, Rubio, and Cruz would each get ⅓ of the delegates (even though it is more likely that Trump will have over half).   It is easy to see Trump and Rubio joining tickets and delegates.  Trump has already decided that Rubio would be better for his ticket than Cruz: Rubio has higher  approval by the Republican establishment and will hopefully have a better influence with the Latino vote, which Trump is going to have to make mucho apologies to when he secures the Republican nomination.

The left (who has given Trump hours of free promotion on television) is thrilled with his lead among the Republicans for a number of reasons. First of all, he’s as socially left as they, and they hope this will end the Evangelical influence in politics.  In case you have been asleep, Bible believing Christians have a target on their backs. Second of all, they think Donald will lose against Hillary. They are certainly mistaken.  It is true that ⅓ of the hardcore Evangelical and/or Libertarian branch of Republicans will never vote for Donald Trump, but they will also never vote for Hillary.  2/3 of  Democrats will also never vote for him.  However this leaves most blue collar Democrats, moderate Republicans, and Independents to vote for Donald’s brash style over Hillary’s worn politics.  She is a weak and unpopular candidate.  Some think if Hillary runs against Donald, she will bring out the big guns and dirt to bring him down; however, one things that has been obvious to me throughout this campaign.  Mr Trump has vast landholding of dirt on  many people, and the Clintons are dirtier than most.   Anything they expose about Trump, he will dish out three times more on them in retaliation.  If he does become president, this technique of his will  also make it difficult for the Republican party to have any control of him.  I am sure he will make deals with flexible Democrats and Republicans at will. Furthermore, he doesn’t seem to possess any party loyalty.

Trying to predict what a Donald Trump presidency will be like is difficult because it will be unlike any presidency we have ever seen in our lives or has ever existed in the US.  He will be the first president to have no previous experience in either government or the military.  People in the military know how to take orders, and people in government learn how to compromise.  Trump knows how to make deals.  He is also not an ideologue.  We know that Bernie Sanders is a Democratic Socialist and that Hillary Clinton is a big business Democrat. We know that Marco Rubio is a social conservative Neo-Con and that Ted Cruz is a social conservative Tea Party Republican.  Donald Trump seems to borrow ideas at will from all of these groups depending on the day he is talking and the group he is talking to.  This makes his actual policies if he becomes president hard to ascertain.

I expect there would be some benefits to having a successful deal making businessman as president.  I take him at his word that he wants to make America great again.  Our last three presidents have increasingly taken us towards a more global version of governance which leans heavily on international approval.  Trump  will not be the sort of president that will easily be pushed around by world opinion or political correctness.  He wants to put America first.  A strong and stable United States has benefited not only her citizens, but people around the globe with better health and prosperity.  I think he will be fantastic at fighting terrorism and at giving incentives to bring American businesses back to the US.  These are good things.  

World trade, treaties, and tariffs are not areas I am very familiar with; however,   Trump promises changes in these areas and change will come.   One of the guiding philosophies of the last 50 years is that countries who trade together are less likely to go to war with each other.  This is sensible.  I worry that his bullying might not be looked on too kindly by other countries, and if he continues with his name calling/ belittling techniques with world leaders like he does with Americans who criticize or disagree with him, it could be catastrophic.  Although I think we would have a more secure country with a Trump presidency, it seems to me the likelihood of a major war would also be increased.

For domestic concerns, his Supreme Court appointments would be a disaster: the worst of two worlds.  He would nominate Supreme Court judges who support business rights over the individual, and I doubt his judges would do anything to support the religious and free speech rights that are now under deep assault. Because of election year promises, Trump would sustain the status quo with abortion, and he strongly supports the right to bear arms.  My main concern is that he doesn’t seems to function from a core of moral values or from a defense of the constitution.   He appears to be a person who would go to almost any lengths to obtain more power and would do anything to keep hold of that power for as long as possible.  Dangerous?   I think he has already proven that he will strong arm (or bribe) people anyway that he can to support him or at least, to not oppose him.  He is a man used to having his own way.

Donald Trump could become like a modern day Nebuchadnezzar.  Someone who values great wealth and power and who would not be afraid to display both lavishly.  However Daniel, too, played an important role in Nebuchadnezzar’s kingdom.  Daniel, in our context, would be the prophetic voice of the believing church.  Daniel had the courage to point out to the king that all power and wealth came from the Lord Almighty who was in fact the true ruler of all.  When Nebuchadnezzar’s pride got completely out of control, the Lord struck the Chaldean king down and made him like the beast of the field who wandered naked for seven years grazing on grass like an animal.

If my projection of the direction of this political season holds true, I would give Mr Trump some free advice, so that he would not go the way of the great king of ancient Babylon.  One: learn to recognize your own sins and ask for forgiveness from the Lord Almighty. If you do not recognize areas in your life that need forgiveness, I could recommend a dozen pastors who could help you.  Two: Fear God. The fear of the Lord is the beginning of wisdom. I pity a country who puts rulers into power who have no fear of God.

To the church, I would say: be as Daniel and his friends.. Serve God, serve the king, but don’t bend down to any idols. Even if disobedience means being thrown into the fiery furnace like Shadrach, Meshach, and Abednego.

“At the end of the days I, Nebuchadnezzar, lifted my eyes to heaven, and my reason returned to me, and I blessed the Most High, and praised and honored him who lives forever,

for his dominion is an everlasting dominion,

   and his kingdom endures from generation to generation;

 all the inhabitants of the earth are accounted as nothing,

   and he does according to his will among the host of heaven

   and among the inhabitants of the earth;

and none can stay his hand

   or say to him, “What have you done?” Daniel 4:34-35.